The yield curve inverted in June 2022, and as we all know, the recession never came. When it flipped positive in 2024, ...

Learn to create a yield curve in Excel and understand its implications for interest rate forecasting. Follow our simple guide ...

I still remember back in 2006, when the curve inverted ahead of the financial crisis. Hardly anyone outside of bankers, economists, hardcore investors and bond traders knew what it meant. But by 2008, ...

For decades, the yield curve has served as the bedrock of fixed-income strategy. A steep, upward-sloping curve typically signalled economic optimism, offering investors higher yields to compensate for ...

Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. I write about investment strategies to build generational wealth. A quietly steepening European yield curve signals opportunity ...

The yield curve has long been a closely watched indicator of economic health. When the yield curve inverts, meaning short-term interest rates exceed long-term rates, it is often seen as a harbinger of ...

The 10-year Treasury yield passed below that of the 3-month note in Wednesday trading. In market lingo, that's known as an "inverted yield curve," and it's had a sterling prediction record. While ...

In June 2025, the Federal Reserve held its benchmark interest rate steady, a key tool to influence the economy. While the Fed takes a “wait and see” approach to future interest rate cuts, investors ...

The yield curve is normalizing, making shorter-term yields lower than long-term yields, and we expect short-term yields to decrease further by 2025. We recommend the OXLCP preferred shares from Oxford ...

Shorter-term US Treasury yields have fallen, while yields on longer-dated bonds could remain elevated, thanks to the threat of higher inflation and investor concerns surrounding the federal deficit.

The euro area yield curve steepened significantly in 2025 as long-term and especially very long-term interest rates increased. This ECB Blog post ...